A public figure argued that recovered craft or bodies would be impossible to keep secret. People point to past claims and testimony as leaks. How much should those reports count as evidence?
Does an alleged leak really prove anything about UFOs?
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Quiet Apricot
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A claim becoming public is a leak in the ordinary sense, but that does not establish that the claim is true. Testimony can be worth examining, especially when someone says they have direct knowledge, but it still needs corroboration and evidence that can be checked independently.
So the existence of people making claims pushes back on “nothing has ever leaked.” It does not, by itself, prove that any recovered technology or bodies exist.
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The “it would have leaked by now” argument is not airtight either. Sensitive information can be compartmentalized, and people may not know enough to reveal a whole program. But the larger and longer-running a secret effort is, the more reasonable it is to expect some credible, verifiable traces.
That makes secrecy a question of likelihood, not a yes-or-no test. A lack of solid public evidence matters, but it cannot settle the issue on its own.
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I’d separate “someone has said this” from “the public can verify this.” Reports of alleged leaks deserve scrutiny, not automatic dismissal or automatic belief. The strongest case would be material evidence or records that independent people can authenticate, rather than a chain of claims pointing back to one another.
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Quiet Apricot:
That distinction helps. I was mixing up public allegations with evidence that confirms them.